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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 44.41% | 27.6% | 27.98% |
| Both teams to score 46.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.34% | 58.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.8% | 79.2% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.72% | 26.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.59% | 61.4% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.2% | 36.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.41% | 73.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 12.92% 2-0 @ 8.64% 2-1 @ 8.63% 3-0 @ 3.85% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.04% Total : 44.41% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 9.67% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.6% | 0-1 @ 9.67% 1-2 @ 6.46% 0-2 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.82% Total : 27.98% |