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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 40.6% | 27.18% | 32.21% |
| Both teams to score 49.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.38% | 55.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.22% | 76.78% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% | 26.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.79% | 62.21% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.97% | 32.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.51% | 68.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.31% 2-1 @ 8.46% 2-0 @ 7.43% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.6% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.61% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-2 @ 5.58% 1-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.22% |