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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 36.93% | 27.26% | 35.8% |
| Both teams to score 50.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.58% | 55.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.38% | 76.62% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% | 28.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.23% | 64.76% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.42% | 29.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.39% | 65.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 6.59% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.93% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.55% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 7.87% 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 3.2% 0-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.45% Total : 35.8% |