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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 20.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 54.45% | 24.98% | 20.57% |
| Both teams to score 46.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.19% | 54.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.88% | 76.11% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.89% | 20.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.64% | 52.36% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.48% | 41.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.99% | 78.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.38% 2-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 5.74% 3-1 @ 5.05% 4-0 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 2.03% Other @ 3.54% Total : 54.44% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 8.35% 2-2 @ 4.15% Other @ 0.71% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.34% 1-2 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 3.23% 1-3 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.22% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.16% Total : 20.57% |