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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 49.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 24.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 49.51% | 25.55% | 24.94% |
| Both teams to score 50.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.09% | 52.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.48% | 74.52% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.61% | 21.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.62% | 54.38% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.77% | 36.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.99% | 73.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 11.95% 2-1 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 9.22% 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.37% Total : 49.51% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 7.75% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 7.87% 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 4% 1-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.87% Total : 24.94% |