League One

League One | Gameweek 34

Mar 6, 2021 at 3pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
2 - 1
Swindon

Charles (11'), Bishop (44')
Hughes (31'), Butcher (45+2'), Burgess (59')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Pitman (30')

Coverage of the League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 50.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 24.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Swindon Town
50.99%	24.74%	24.28%

Both teams to score 51.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.74%

50.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.79%

72.21%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.29%

19.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.28%

51.72%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.64%

35.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.88%

72.12%

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 50.98%

Swindon Town 24.28%

Draw 24.73%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 11.31% 2-1 @ 9.56% 2-0 @ 9.19% 3-1 @ 5.17% 3-0 @ 4.98% 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.87% Total : 50.98%	1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 6.97% 2-2 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.73%	0-1 @ 7.25% 1-2 @ 6.12% 0-2 @ 3.77% 1-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2% Total : 24.28%

League One

Accrington2 - 1Swindon

Data Analysis

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Accrington
2 - 1
Swindon