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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 42.25% | 26.89% | 30.86% |
| Both teams to score 50.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.14% | 54.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.85% | 76.15% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.34% | 25.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.43% | 60.57% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.42% | 32.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.88% | 69.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 7.74% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.25% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.36% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 9.38% 1-2 @ 7.15% 0-2 @ 5.26% 1-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.86% |