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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 46.44% | 25.13% | 28.43% |
| Both teams to score 54.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.14% | 48.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.04% | 70.96% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% | 21.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.12% | 53.88% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.74% | 31.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.39% | 67.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.29% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 4.82% 3-0 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 2.8% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.55% Total : 46.43% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 6.59% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.66% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 4.45% 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.88% Total : 28.43% |