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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 57.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 57.28% | 22.6% | 20.12% |
| Both teams to score 53.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.11% | 45.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.8% | 68.2% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.23% | 15.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.1% | 44.9% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.13% | 36.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.34% | 73.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% 2-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 6.11% 3-1 @ 6.09% 3-2 @ 3.04% 4-0 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 2.81% 4-2 @ 1.4% 5-0 @ 1.04% 5-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.36% Total : 57.28% | 1-1 @ 10.71% 0-0 @ 5.82% 2-2 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.6% | 0-1 @ 5.8% 1-2 @ 5.35% 0-2 @ 2.89% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.69% Total : 20.12% |