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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 45.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.94%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 26.86% | 27.24% | 45.9% |
| Both teams to score 46.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.06% | 57.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.36% | 78.64% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.66% | 37.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.88% | 74.12% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.79% | 25.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.05% | 59.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 9.27% 2-1 @ 6.3% 2-0 @ 4.57% 3-1 @ 2.07% 3-0 @ 1.5% 3-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.73% Total : 26.86% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 9.41% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 12.96% 0-2 @ 8.94% 1-2 @ 8.8% 0-3 @ 4.1% 1-3 @ 4.04% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-4 @ 1.41% 1-4 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.25% Total : 45.89% |