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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 49.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-0 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 25.05% | 25.45% | 49.49% |
| Both teams to score 50.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.55% | 52.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.88% | 74.12% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.12% | 35.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.35% | 72.65% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.79% | 21.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.9% | 54.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 7.8% 2-1 @ 6.2% 2-0 @ 4% 3-1 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 1.64% 3-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.93% Total : 25.05% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 7.61% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 11.79% 1-2 @ 9.38% 0-2 @ 9.15% 1-3 @ 4.85% 0-3 @ 4.73% 2-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.88% 0-4 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.43% Total : 49.49% |