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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 28.38% | 25.83% | 45.78% |
| Both teams to score 52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.2% | 51.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.44% | 73.56% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.18% | 32.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.61% | 69.39% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.41% | 22.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.81% | 56.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 8.26% 2-1 @ 6.85% 2-0 @ 4.6% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.54% Total : 28.38% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.41% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 11.02% 1-2 @ 9.14% 0-2 @ 8.21% 1-3 @ 4.53% 0-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.77% |