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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Rochdale |
| 42.71% | 27.19% | 30.1% |
| Both teams to score 48.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.71% | 56.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.67% | 77.33% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.92% | 26.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.87% | 61.13% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.11% | 33.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.44% | 70.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 11.87% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.17% Total : 42.7% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.84% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 9.56% 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 5.17% 1-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.35% Total : 30.1% |