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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 32.03% | 26.5% | 41.48% |
| Both teams to score 51.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.04% | 52.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.44% | 74.56% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.2% | 30.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.93% | 67.07% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.79% | 25.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.06% | 59.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 9.14% 2-1 @ 7.42% 2-0 @ 5.38% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 2.01% Other @ 3.05% Total : 32.03% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 10.69% 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-2 @ 7.37% 1-3 @ 3.99% 0-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.46% Total : 41.47% |