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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 40.4% | 26.57% | 33.03% |
| Both teams to score 51.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47% | 52.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.41% | 74.59% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.21% | 25.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.27% | 60.73% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.85% | 30.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.7% | 66.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 7.14% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.35% Total : 40.4% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.77% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 7.57% 0-2 @ 5.59% 1-3 @ 3.03% 0-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.32% Total : 33.03% |