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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 44.92% | 27.17% | 27.91% |
| Both teams to score 47.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.86% | 57.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.99% | 78.01% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% | 25.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.87% | 60.12% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.96% | 36.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.18% | 72.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% 2-1 @ 8.78% 2-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-0 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.26% Total : 44.91% | 1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 9.13% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 6.53% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 1.94% Total : 27.91% |