League One

League One | Gameweek 17

Dec 12, 2020 at 3pm UK

The Energy Check County Ground

Swindon
0 - 1
Fleetwood

Hope (35'), Grounds (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Madden (29')
Camps (57'), Connolly (82'), Duffy (90+3')

Coverage of the League One clash between Swindon Town and Fleetwood Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Fleetwood Town
30.62%	26.1%	43.28%

Both teams to score 52.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.17%

51.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.41%

73.59%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.8%

31.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.46%

67.54%

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.21%

23.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.05%

57.95%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 30.62%

Fleetwood Town 43.27%

Draw 26.1%

Swindon Town	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 8.65% 2-1 @ 7.23% 2-0 @ 5.04% 3-1 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.96% Other @ 2.93% Total : 30.62%	1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.42% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.1%	0-1 @ 10.65% 1-2 @ 8.91% 0-2 @ 7.65% 1-3 @ 4.27% 0-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.8% Total : 43.27%