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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 58.51% | 22.75% | 18.74% |
| Both teams to score 50.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.59% | 48.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.45% | 70.55% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.77% | 16.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.26% | 45.74% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.18% | 39.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.51% | 76.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 11.75% 2-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 5.96% 4-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 1.25% 5-0 @ 1.07% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.09% Total : 58.51% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 0-0 @ 6.46% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.75% | 0-1 @ 5.95% 1-2 @ 4.98% 0-2 @ 2.74% 1-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.15% Total : 18.74% |