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Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 24
Jan 16, 2021 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Crewe Alexandra

Plymouth
1 - 1
Crewe

Jephcott (11' pen.)
Watts (26'), Edwards (58'), Opoku (60'), Mayor (74'), Camara (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Finney (64')
Lowery (80')
Coverage of the League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Crewe Alexandra.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCrewe Alexandra
43.24%25.67%31.09%
Both teams to score 54.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.13%49.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.13%71.87%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.04%22.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.25%56.75%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12%29.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02%65.98%
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 43.23%
    Crewe Alexandra 31.09%
    Draw 25.67%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.09%
2-1 @ 8.97%
2-0 @ 7.43%
3-1 @ 4.4%
3-0 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 43.23%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 6.86%
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 8.29%
1-2 @ 7.37%
0-2 @ 5.01%
1-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 31.09%