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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 43.24% | 25.67% | 31.09% |
| Both teams to score 54.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.13% | 49.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.13% | 71.87% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.04% | 22.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.25% | 56.75% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.12% | 29.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.02% | 65.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 7.43% 3-1 @ 4.4% 3-0 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.11% Total : 43.23% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 6.86% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 8.29% 1-2 @ 7.37% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.27% Total : 31.09% |