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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 20.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 56.13% | 23.32% | 20.55% |
| Both teams to score 51.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.66% | 48.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.52% | 70.49% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.97% | 17.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.82% | 47.19% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.17% | 37.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.4% | 74.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% 2-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 5.79% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-0 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.25% 5-0 @ 0.93% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.98% Total : 56.12% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 0-0 @ 6.45% 2-2 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.31% | 0-1 @ 6.27% 1-2 @ 5.39% 0-2 @ 3.05% 1-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.55% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.58% Total : 20.55% |