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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 41.87% | 27.22% | 30.92% |
| Both teams to score 49.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.9% | 56.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.83% | 77.17% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% | 26.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.39% | 61.6% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.81% | 33.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.2% | 69.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 8.57% 2-0 @ 7.77% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.86% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.77% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 9.68% 1-2 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 5.34% 1-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.92% |