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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 57.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 57.09% | 23.31% | 19.6% |
| Both teams to score 50.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.5% | 49.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.46% | 71.54% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.89% | 17.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.68% | 47.32% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.5% | 39.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.81% | 76.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.93% 2-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 6.2% 3-1 @ 5.76% 4-0 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 2.54% 4-2 @ 1.18% 5-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.79% Total : 57.08% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.3% | 0-1 @ 6.28% 1-2 @ 5.15% 0-2 @ 2.92% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.36% Total : 19.6% |