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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Rochdale |
| 36.01% | 25.95% | 38.04% |
| Both teams to score 54.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.02% | 49.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.04% | 71.96% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% | 26.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.86% | 62.13% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.32% | 25.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.41% | 60.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 9.06% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.12% Total : 36.01% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 6.89% 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-2 @ 6.37% 1-3 @ 3.8% 0-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.48% Total : 38.04% |