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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 54.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 54.88% | 23.34% | 21.78% |
| Both teams to score 53.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.03% | 46.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.78% | 69.22% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.01% | 16.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.9% | 47.1% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.16% | 35.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.39% | 72.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% 2-1 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 9.57% 3-1 @ 5.8% 3-0 @ 5.65% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.57% 4-0 @ 2.51% 4-2 @ 1.32% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.97% Total : 54.88% | 1-1 @ 11.07% 0-0 @ 6.09% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.34% | 0-1 @ 6.25% 1-2 @ 5.68% 0-2 @ 3.21% 1-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.88% Total : 21.78% |