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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 1-0 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 21.13% | 23.81% | 55.07% |
| Both teams to score 50.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.35% | 49.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.33% | 71.67% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.01% | 37.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.24% | 74.76% |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.1% | 17.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.31% | 48.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 1-0 @ 6.58% 2-1 @ 5.48% 2-0 @ 3.19% 3-1 @ 1.77% 3-2 @ 1.52% 3-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.57% Total : 21.13% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.8% | 0-1 @ 11.69% 0-2 @ 10.06% 1-2 @ 9.74% 0-3 @ 5.77% 1-3 @ 5.59% 2-3 @ 2.7% 0-4 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 2.4% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.46% Total : 55.05% |