League One Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Tom Hamer 26' goal
  • Kane Hemmings 64' yellowcard
  • John Brayford 83' goal
  • goal Jack Payne 35'

Burton Albion vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Apr 2, 2021 3.00pm
Accrington 0 - 0 Burton Albion
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Kane Hemmings

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 2, 2021 3.00pm
Swindon 0 - 2 Blackpool
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Brett Pitman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result

Burton Albion 36.5%
Draw 27.94%
Swindon Town 35.55%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.97%

Goals

Over 2.5 41.96%
Under 2.5 58.04%
Over 3.5 21.28%
Under 3.5 78.72%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 69.56%
Under 0.5 30.44%
Over 1.5 33.35%
Under 1.5 66.64%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 68.96%
Under 0.5 31.04%
Over 1.5 32.65%
Under 1.5 67.35%

Score analysis

Burton Albion 36.5%
Draw 27.93%
Swindon Town 35.55%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 11.23%
2-1 @ 7.82%
2-0 @ 6.68%
3-1 @ 3.1%
3-0 @ 2.65%
3-2 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 36.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 9.45%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.93%
Swindon Town
0-1 @ 11.05%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-2 @ 6.47%
1-3 @ 3%
0-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 35.55%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 3
Sep 26, 2020 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT The Energy Check County Ground
  • Jordan Stevens 7' goal
  • Brett Pitman 31' goal
  • Jack Payne 34' yellowcard
  • Mathieu Baudry 35' goal
  • Zeki Fryers 45' yellowcard
  • Matt Smith 58' yellowcard
  • Jonny Smith 60' goal
  • goal Stephen Quinn 40'
  • goal Lucas Akins 77'
League One
Dec 28, 2015 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mark Duffy 45' yellowcard
  • Tom Naylor 73' yellowcard
  • Lucas Akins 77' goal
  • yellowcard Adam El-Abd 59'
  • yellowcard Louis Thompson 63'
  • yellowcard Bradley Barry 93'
League One
Sep 19, 2015 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Stuart Beavon 27'
  • yellowcard Phil Edwards 51'
  • yellowcard Calum Butcher 64'
League Two
Feb 28, 2012 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alessandro Cibocchi 34' yellowcard
  • Paul Benson 58' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Dyer 24'
League Two
Sep 17, 2011 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Billy Kee 21' goal
  • Adam Bolder 23' yellowcard
  • Jacques Maghoma 47' goal
  • yellowcard Alan McCormack 85'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Smith 90'