League One

League One | Gameweek 40

Apr 5, 2021 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
2 - 1
Swindon

Hamer (26'), Brayford (83')
Hemmings (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Payne (35')

Coverage of the League One clash between Burton Albion and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Swindon Town
36.5%	27.94%	35.55%

Both teams to score 47.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.96%

58.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.28%

78.72%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.56%

30.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.35%

66.64%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.96%

31.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.65%

67.35%

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 36.5%

Swindon Town 35.55%

Draw 27.93%

Burton Albion	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 7.82% 2-0 @ 6.68% 3-1 @ 3.1% 3-0 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.28% Total : 36.5%	1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.45% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.93%	0-1 @ 11.05% 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 6.47% 1-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.55%

League One

Burton Albion2 - 1Swindon

Data Analysis

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Burton Albion
2 - 1
Swindon