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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 47.96%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 26.08% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | MK Dons |
| 26.08% | 25.96% | 47.96% |
| Both teams to score 49.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.32% | 53.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.83% | 75.17% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.33% | 35.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.56% | 72.44% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.61% | 22.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.1% | 55.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 8.23% 2-1 @ 6.35% 2-0 @ 4.24% 3-1 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.98% Total : 26.08% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.99% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 11.95% 1-2 @ 9.22% 0-2 @ 8.94% 1-3 @ 4.6% 0-3 @ 4.46% 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.72% 0-4 @ 1.67% Other @ 3.03% Total : 47.96% |