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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 57.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 1-0 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | MK Dons |
| 20.36% | 22.56% | 57.08% |
| Both teams to score 53.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.65% | 45.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.31% | 67.69% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.69% | 36.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.9% | 73.1% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.35% | 15.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.32% | 44.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 5.76% 2-1 @ 5.41% 2-0 @ 2.92% 3-1 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.69% 3-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.78% Total : 20.36% | 1-1 @ 10.67% 0-0 @ 5.68% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.55% | 0-1 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-2 @ 9.78% 1-3 @ 6.12% 0-3 @ 6.04% 2-3 @ 3.1% 1-4 @ 2.84% 0-4 @ 2.8% 2-4 @ 1.44% 1-5 @ 1.05% 0-5 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.43% Total : 57.08% |