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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Oxford United |
| 34.89% | 26.63% | 38.47% |
| Both teams to score 52.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.05% | 52.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.45% | 74.54% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.07% | 28.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.19% | 64.81% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% | 26.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.89% | 62.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 5.97% 3-1 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.89% | 1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 10.21% 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 6.72% 1-3 @ 3.66% 0-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.47% |