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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 42.29% | 25.82% | 31.89% |
| Both teams to score 53.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.79% | 50.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.83% | 72.17% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% | 23.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.36% | 57.64% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.49% | 29.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.47% | 65.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 7.26% 3-1 @ 4.27% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.28% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.96% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.49% 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.89% |