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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 35.21%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.12%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (12.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 34.87% | 29.92% | 35.21% |
| Both teams to score 42.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.15% | 64.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.21% | 83.78% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.96% | 35.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.22% | 71.78% |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.19% | 34.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.46% | 71.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.78% 2-1 @ 7.08% 2-0 @ 6.71% 3-1 @ 2.48% 3-0 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.17% Total : 34.86% | 1-1 @ 13.49% 0-0 @ 12.19% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.91% | 0-1 @ 12.87% 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 6.79% 1-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.22% Total : 35.21% |