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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 16.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-0 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Sunderland |
| 16.52% | 20.6% | 62.88% |
| Both teams to score 52.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.23% | 42.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.83% | 65.17% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.91% | 39.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.19% | 75.81% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.01% | 13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.49% | 39.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 4.77% 2-1 @ 4.57% 2-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 1.46% 3-1 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.04% Total : 16.52% | 1-1 @ 9.74% 0-0 @ 5.08% 2-2 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.6% | 0-2 @ 10.57% 0-1 @ 10.36% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-3 @ 7.2% 1-3 @ 6.76% 0-4 @ 3.67% 1-4 @ 3.45% 2-3 @ 3.17% 2-4 @ 1.62% 0-5 @ 1.5% 1-5 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.23% Total : 62.86% |