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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 51.35% | 25.37% | 23.27% |
| Both teams to score 48.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.37% | 53.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.87% | 75.13% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.1% | 20.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.38% | 53.62% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.86% | 38.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.1% | 74.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.47% 2-0 @ 9.77% 2-1 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 5.1% 3-1 @ 4.91% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-0 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.47% Total : 51.35% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 7.97% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 7.68% 1-2 @ 5.8% 0-2 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.58% Total : 23.27% |