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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 49.79% | 24.58% | 25.62% |
| Both teams to score 53.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.51% | 48.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.38% | 70.61% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.5% | 19.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.62% | 51.37% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.74% | 33.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.13% | 69.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 9.54% 2-0 @ 8.67% 3-1 @ 5.2% 3-0 @ 4.72% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.98% Total : 49.8% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 0-0 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 7.14% 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.4% Total : 25.62% |