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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 40.39% | 27.25% | 32.36% |
| Both teams to score 49.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.18% | 55.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.06% | 76.94% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.9% | 27.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.52% | 62.48% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.98% | 32.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.51% | 68.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.39% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.68% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.77% Total : 32.36% |