League One

League One | Gameweek 40

Apr 5, 2021 at 3pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
3 - 0
Plymouth

Aimson (52' og.), Whalley (77'), Ogbeta (81')
Norburn (75'), Vela (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Camara (44')

Coverage of the League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Plymouth Argyle.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
40.95%	27.57%	31.48%

Both teams to score 48.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.75%

57.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.9%

78.1%

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.53%

27.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.04%

62.96%

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.61%

33.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.99%

70.01%

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 40.95%

Plymouth Argyle 31.48%

Draw 27.56%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 11.85% 2-1 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 7.66% 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.95%	1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.17% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.56%	0-1 @ 10.06% 1-2 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.48%