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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackpool | Draw | Gillingham |
| 46.14% | 26.78% | 27.08% |
| Both teams to score 48.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.85% | 56.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.78% | 77.22% |
| Blackpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% | 24.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.32% | 58.68% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.82% | 36.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.04% | 72.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackpool | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 12.43% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 4.22% 3-0 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.49% Total : 46.13% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 8.79% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 8.94% 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 4.54% 1-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 1.91% Total : 27.08% |