League One

League One | Gameweek 42

Apr 17, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
3 - 2
Gillingham

Winnall (74'), Long (84', 90+3')
Taylor (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Oliver (40'), Cundy (72')
Jackson (66')

Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Gillingham.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 59.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 17.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Gillingham
59.27%	22.87%	17.86%

Both teams to score 48.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.82%

50.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.86%

72.14%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.41%

16.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.61%

46.39%

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.11%

41.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.66%

78.34%

Score Analysis

Oxford United 59.27%

Gillingham 17.86%

Draw 22.87%

Oxford United	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 12.48% 2-0 @ 11.21% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 5.84% 4-0 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-2 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 1.08% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.91% Total : 59.27%	1-1 @ 10.86% 0-0 @ 6.95% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.81% Total : 22.87%	0-1 @ 6.05% 1-2 @ 4.73% 0-2 @ 2.63% 1-3 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.85% Total : 17.86%