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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 36.61%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (12.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 36.61% | 29.31% | 34.08% |
| Both teams to score 43.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.09% | 62.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.6% | 82.4% |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% | 32.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.58% | 69.42% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.46% | 34.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.74% | 71.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hull City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 12.63% 2-1 @ 7.47% 2-0 @ 7.03% 3-1 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.62% Total : 36.61% | 1-1 @ 13.42% 0-0 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.3% | 0-1 @ 12.06% 1-2 @ 7.14% 0-2 @ 6.41% 1-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.26% Total : 34.07% |