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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 64.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 14.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 64.3% | 21.14% | 14.56% |
| Both teams to score 46.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.19% | 48.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.09% | 70.91% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.53% | 14.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.55% | 42.45% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.61% | 45.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.76% | 81.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 12.69% 2-0 @ 12.27% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 6.25% 4-0 @ 3.82% 4-1 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.47% 5-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.19% 5-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.34% Total : 64.29% | 1-1 @ 10.03% 0-0 @ 6.57% 2-2 @ 3.83% Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.14% | 0-1 @ 5.19% 1-2 @ 3.96% 0-2 @ 2.05% 1-3 @ 1.04% 2-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.31% Total : 14.56% |