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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Colchester United |
| 37.64% | 28.41% | 33.94% |
| Both teams to score 46.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.14% | 59.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.87% | 80.13% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.35% | 30.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.1% | 66.89% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.97% | 33.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.38% | 69.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 11.97% 2-1 @ 7.84% 2-0 @ 7.08% 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.64% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.12% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.41% | 0-1 @ 11.21% 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 6.21% 1-3 @ 2.71% 0-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.94% |