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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 58.03% | 24.05% | 17.92% |
| Both teams to score 45.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.37% | 54.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.04% | 75.96% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.35% | 18.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.03% | 49.97% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.56% | 44.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.52% | 80.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 13.91% 2-0 @ 11.68% 2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 5.31% 4-0 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 2.15% 5-0 @ 0.92% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.15% Total : 58.02% | 1-1 @ 11.28% 0-0 @ 8.29% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.64% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 6.72% 1-2 @ 4.58% 0-2 @ 2.73% 1-3 @ 1.24% 2-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.61% Total : 17.92% |