Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Boreham Wood win was 2-1 (7.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.