Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 1-0 (6.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.