National League Gameweek 31
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
The Lamb Ground

Tamworth vs Hartlepool United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tamworth

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Yeovil 0 - 0 Tamworth
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Ronan Maher

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Hartlepool 0 - 0 Aldershot
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Alex Reid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tamworth win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Hartlepool United has a probability of 33.8% and a draw has a probability of 27.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win is 0-1 (10.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.43%).

Result

Tamworth 38.46% (-0.19)
Draw 27.74% (+0.12)
Hartlepool United 33.8% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.15% (-0.42)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.07% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 29.93% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 44.15% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 55.85% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 22.6% (-0.52)
Under 3.5 77.4% (+0.53)
Over 4.5 11.66% (-0.26)
Under 4.5 88.34% (+0.27)

First Half Winner

Tamworth 29.27% (-2.06)
Draw 42.12% (+0.15)
Hartlepool United 28.61% (+1.91)

Team To Score First

Tamworth 45.41% (-3.02)
No Goal 8.97% (-0.19)
Hartlepool United 45.62% (+3.20)

Corners

Over 8 63.1% (-0.54)
Equal 8 10.93% (+0.09)
Under 8 25.97% (+0.46)
Over 9 51.47% (-0.58)
Equal 9 11.63% (+0.05)
Under 9 36.9% (+0.54)
Over 10.5 40.15% (-0.57)
Under 10.5 59.85% (+0.57)

Tamworth Goals

Over 1.5 34.95% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 65.05% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 12.94% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 87.06% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 3.87% (-0.33)
Under 3.5 96.13% (+0.32)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5 66.79% (+0.71)
Under 0.5 33.21% (-0.70)
Over 1.5 31% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 69% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 11.02% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 88.98% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.17% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 96.83% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Tamworth 38.46%
Draw 27.76%
Hartlepool United 33.79%
Tamworth
1-0 @ 10.76% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.78% (+0.31)
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.28)
3-1 @ 3.37% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.96% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.06% (+0.06)
Other @ 3.86% (-0.32)
Total : 38.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.43% (+0.37)
0-0 @ 8.97% (-0.19)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.76%
Hartlepool United
0-1 @ 10.21% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.45% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.8% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.15)
0-3 @ 2.37% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.12)
Other @ 3.16% (+0.08)
Total : 33.79%

Head to Head

National League
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League Gameweek 27
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Northern Gas and Power Stadium
  • Reyes Cleary 15' goal
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 60' goal
  • Nathan Sheron 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Ponticelli 44'
  • goal Beck-Ray Enoru 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jasbir Singh 83'
  • yellowcard Matt Curley 88'
National League Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamb Ground
  • Nathan Tshikuna 60' yellowcard
  • Ben Acquaye 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 8'
  • yellowcard Louis Stephenson 32'
  • goal Joe Grey 82'
  • yellowcard David Ferguson 90'+4'