National League Gameweek 29
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
St. James' Park

Brackley Town vs Hartlepool United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Brackley Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
Truro City 3 - 3 Brackley Town
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Ben Wodskou

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
Hartlepool 2 - 1 Gateshead
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Alex Reid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brackley Town win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Hartlepool United has a probability of 31.53% and a draw has a probability of 26.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win is 0-1 (9.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.85%).

Result

Brackley Town 41.95% (-0.13)
Draw 26.52% (+0.09)
Hartlepool United 31.53% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.78% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.4% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 27.6% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 47.5% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 52.5% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 26.04% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 73.96% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 14.09% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 85.91% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Brackley Town 31.4% (-0.05)
Draw 40.54% (-0.07)
Hartlepool United 28.06% (+0.10)

Team To Score First

Brackley Town 48.29% (-0.04)
No Goal 7.62% (-0.01)
Hartlepool United 44.09% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 67.06% (+0.27)
Equal 8 10.32% (-0.02)
Under 8 22.62% (-0.26)
Over 9 55.71% (+0.26)
Equal 9 11.34% (+0.01)
Under 9 32.94% (-0.28)
Over 10.5 44.31% (+0.22)
Under 10.5 55.69% (-0.22)

Brackley Town Goals

Over 1.5 39.02% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 60.98% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 15.85% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 84.15% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.13% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.87% (-0.01)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5 66.2% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 33.8% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 31.21% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 68.79% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 11.05% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 88.95% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.44% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.56% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Brackley Town 41.95%
Draw 26.53%
Hartlepool United 31.53%
Brackley Town
1-0 @ 10.93% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.03% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.02%
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.12% (+0.01)
Total : 41.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.85% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.62% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.53%
Hartlepool United
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.33% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.01% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.8% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.94% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.43% (+0.03)
Total : 31.53%

Head to Head

National League
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
FA Cup
Oct 15, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT St. James' Park
  • Morgan Roberts 33' goal
  • Scott Pollock 52' goal
  • Scott Pollock 72' goal
  • goal Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 31'
FA Cup
Oct 12, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Northern Gas and Power Stadium
  • Adam Campbell 87' goal
  • goal George Carline 32'