Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 0-1 (9.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.