National League Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2026 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Dwight Yorke Stadium
  • Alex Newby 19' goal
  • Oliver Banks 67' yellowcard
  • Ollie Banks 67' yellowcard
  • Daniel Batty 77' yellowcard
  • Ben Brookes 77' yellowcard
  • H. Boateng 84' goal
  • Hiram Boateng 85' goal
  • Ryan Fallowfield 87' yellowcard
  • Ashley Nathaniel-George 87' yellowcard
  • Ryan Fallowfield 88' yellowcard
  • Ashley Nathaniel-George 88' yellowcard
  • Josh Stones 90'+13' yellowcard
  • goal Reiss McNally 39'
  • yellowcard Charlie Caton 72'
  • yellowcard Gavan Holohan 79'
  • yellowcard Pharell Brown 88'
  • yellowcard Danny Johnson 88'
  • yellowcard Sam Folarin 89'
  • yellowcard Pharrell Brown 89'
  • yellowcard Danny Johnson 89'
  • goal Charlie Caton 90'+7'

York City vs Hartlepool United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
York City 2 - 1 Forest Green
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Ollie Pearce

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Tamworth 1 - 1 Hartlepool
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Adam Campbell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 63.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.28% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 16.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%) , while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result

York City 63.26% (+0.47)
Draw 20.28% (-0.70)
Hartlepool United 16.46% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.22% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.12% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 17.88% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 60.83% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 39.12% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 40.1% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 59.9% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 25.95% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 74.05% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

York City 51.05% (-0.56)
Draw 33.03% (+0.40)
Hartlepool United 15.92% (+0.16)

Team To Score First

York City 64.1% (-0.19)
No Goal 4.32% (-0.28)
Hartlepool United 31.58% (+0.46)

Corners

Over 8 68.61% (+0.30)
Equal 8 10.06% (+0.01)
Under 8 21.32% (-0.31)
Over 9 57.41% (+0.25)
Equal 9 11.21% (+0.06)
Under 9 31.38% (-0.31)
Over 10.5 45.99% (+0.18)
Under 10.5 54.01% (-0.18)

York City Goals

Over 1.5 62.61% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 37.39% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 35.49% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 64.51% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 16.87% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 83.13% (+0.23)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5 53.09%
Under 0.5 46.91%
Over 1.5 22.9% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 77.1% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 7.33% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 92.67% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 2.1% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 97.9% (+0.09)

Score analysis

York City 63.27%
Draw 20.28%
Hartlepool United 16.46%
York City
2-0 @ 10.01% (+0.18)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 9.23% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 6.81% (+0.22)
3-0 @ 6.56% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 4.01% (+0.07)
Other @ 16.8% (-0.10)
Total : 63.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.19% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 4.32% (-0.28)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.07% (-0.13)
Total : 20.28%
Hartlepool United
0-1 @ 4.34% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 4.02% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.08% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.8% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.03% (+0.05)
Total : 16.46%

Head to Head

National League
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
National League Gameweek 35
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Northern Gas and Power Stadium
  • Luke Waterfall 35' yellowcard
  • Luke Charman 57' yellowcard
  • Jamie Miley 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Hunt 26'
  • goal Ollie Pearce 40'
  • yellowcard Daniel Batty 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Daniel Batty 90'+2'
National League Gameweek 17
Nov 9, 2024 12.30pm
5
3
HT : 2 0
FT Dwight Yorke Stadium
  • Ollie Pearce 19' goal
  • Alex Hunt 43' goal
  • Ashley Nathaniel-George 67' goal
  • Dipo Akinyemi 85' goal
  • Harrison Male 89' yellowcard
  • Ollie Pearce 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Parkes 42'
  • goal David Ferguson 50'
  • yellowcard Nicky Featherstone 66'
  • goal Luke Charman 88'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 90'+4'
  • goal Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 90'+6'
National League Gameweek 31
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Northern Gas and Power Stadium
  • Luke Hendrie 26' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 72' goal
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 88' goal
  • yellowcard Callum Howe 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Alex Woodyard 54'
  • yellowcard Paddy McLaughlin 85'
  • yellowcard Ryan Fallowfield 87'
  • goal Dipo Akinyemi 90'+2'
National League Gameweek 20
Nov 18, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Lner Community Stadium
  • Oliver Green 65' yellowcard
  • Tyler Cordner 90'+4' goal
  • goal Jake Hastie 7'
  • goal Tom Crawford 16'
  • goal Nicky Featherstone 51'
League Two
Apr 16, 2016 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Nathan Thomas 24' goal
  • Michael Woods 72' goal
  • yellowcard Dave Winfield 19'
  • yellowcard Matthew Dixon 30'
  • redcard Dave Winfield 35'
  • goal Kyle Cameron 45'