Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 55.24%. A win for Berwick had a probability of 24.4% and a draw had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.53%) and 0-1 (6.27%). The likeliest Berwick win was 2-1 (5.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.