Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cowdenbeath win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Berwick had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cowdenbeath win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.68%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Berwick win was 1-2 (6.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.